Quantcast

Bracket busted? No problem! C of C student marches through mad - Live5News.com | Charleston, SC | News, Weather, Sports

Bracket busted? No problem! C of C student marches through madness with math

Posted: Updated:
CHARLESTON, SC (WCSC) - If your bracket is busted, you're in good company.  Across the nation, the quest for perfection is officially over.

But what if there was a way to increase the odds without ever watching a game?

Those odds, by the way, 1 in 9.2 quintillion, i.e. 9,223,372,036,854,775,808.

Good luck with that.

Meanwhile, College of Charleston junior Stephen Gorman has a mathematical formula set to increase the odds by at least a few billion.

"If I didn't do this formula, I would just be coin flipping," Gorman said.

The idea was born after Gorman worked alongside one of the nation's top bracketologists in a Research Experiences for Undergraduates (REU) internship.

The formula is based on the Massey rating model (which has 65 percent accuracy on its own), but also includes a rating system for each team and coach.

"The whole thing is that you don't know the ratings before hand," he said.  "That's what you have to solve for."

Heading into Friday, Gorman's accuracy rating stands at 71%.  He says he didn't have time to factor in upsets this year, but hopes to continue tweaking the formula to near perfection.

The future ratings pro admits his formula is no better than expert sports analysis.

"It gives a way for people who don't know much about sports to have that equal opportunity."

Copyright 2014 WCSC.  All rights reserved.

Powered by WorldNow