4:44 PM Update: Today turned out about as nicely as we expected. As I type, readings are in the 70s and the partly sunny sky continues across the entire state. Thicker clouds over New York State are moving our way, however, and the much-advertised cloud-up and showery spell is on its way. The models continue to portend a very, very modest chance for light showers, with the main bulk of rain going into northern New England. Based on what we've witnessed so far all day, there is no reason to disbelieve this forecast so, although we have a shower in the forecast for tonight and tomorrow, count on the vast majority of that period being dry.
Summer will get back on track, starting today after yesterday's chill: the high temperature at Bradley International Airport Friday was only 72 degrees when the normal high is 83 degrees. 72 degrees is the normal high for September 23rd! It was even cooler in the Litchfield Hills. For example, the high temperature at the Botelle Elementary School in Norfolk was only 61 degrees. It may be hard to believe, but yesterday's unseasonably cool weather did not set any records. The lowest high temperature on record for August 15th in the Greater Hartford area is 63 degrees, set all the way back in 1905.
But today, we're on the rebound. A southwesterly flow will develop today and temperatures will rise close to 80 degrees. A few locations could even reach the lower 80s. Overall, it is going to be a pleasant day for all outdoor activities. Skies will be mostly sunny and the humidity will remain fairly low.
The second half of the weekend won't be as nice. A cold front will slide across southern New England on Sunday and it will come through with a few showers and perhaps even a few rumbles of thunder. We don't anticipate any severe weather since the front will come through relatively early in the day before too much heating occurs. The best shot at a shower or thunderstorm will be in the morning and early afternoon. The threat of rain will diminish during the afternoon as the frontal boundary shifts to the east of Connecticut. I do anticipate some sunshine especially during the afternoon as drier air filters in behind the front. Temperatures should peak somewhere between 80 and 85 degrees by late Sunday afternoon.
High pressure will deliver dry, seasonably warm weather on Monday. That seems like a pretty sure bet. However, the forecast is not quite as clear cut beyond Monday. A low pressure system will move off the Mid-Atlantic Coast by Tuesday, but the northward progress of the clouds and showers remains in question. Some computer guidance models brush Connecticut with some showers Tuesday while other models keep the wet weather far to our south. Even if showers do reach Connecticut it should be a relatively minor rainfall event. The rest of next week looks mainly dry with high pressure regaining control. Temperatures are expected to reach the low and mid 80s Wed-Fri.
There is still no 90 degree heat in sight for quite some time. Today was the 23rd consecutive day with high temperatures remaining below the 90 degree mark. With the way things are looking, we could go a solid month or more without reaching 90!
Enjoy the weekend!
Meteorologist Mike Cameron and Chief Meteorologist Bruce DePrest
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