For a lot of kids, this coming week is the last week before the new school year begins. Although we will not have weather that is perfectly summer-like, we are in for a generally pleasant spell, with only a few "troubled times."
Tonight and tomorrow will bring no trouble. Dry air and high pressure will ensure that the sky will be partly to mostly sunny, the air will be pleasantly dry and the temperature will remain comfortable. Lows tonight will be wide-raging, with the coolest locations seeing lows in the upper-40s and low-50s. In Hartford, Waterbury, Norwich, Manchester, Bristol and other inland urban areas, lows will be in the upper-50s. Finally, closest to the water along the Sound, the readings will only fall into the lower-60s. With ample sunshine and mixing, afternoon highs will range between 77 and 82 throughout the state. I light late-day sea-breeze may keep a few beaches in the mid-70s.
Monday's good weather may not last into Tuesday in every sense. The high pressure cell that brought great weather will try to hold onto its dominance, but it may not be completely successful. A coastal storm will be moving by, mainly to the south of New England. The high pressure cell won't be strong enough, however, to stave it off entirely, so we are expecting there to be times during the day when the sky becomes overcast. A few rain showers may meander as far north as Long Island Sound; in all likelihood, the vast majority of Connecticut will have a dry day on Tuesday. Highs will manage to make it to near 80° during the afternoon.
Wednesday will be nice, with partly sunny skies and warm readings – low to middle-80s, thanks to high pressure. An upper-level low pressure area will be moving overhead Thursday and weakening at the same time. The latest thinking on its effect will be to build a few showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon sky after a partly sunny morning, especially if highs go into the lower-80s, as we expect. This heating will be just enough to send parcels of air high into the sky, building a few thunderheads. The same system will be close enough Friday to have a similar effect producing a few scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially once the heating of the day brings readings up to around 80°F.
An early look at next weekend's forecast among the major models shows high pressure strengthening over New England. Saturday may still be more cloudy than sunny, but the overall trend will be for more sunshine and mild readings, with lows near 60°F and highs in the upper-70s to low-80s.
Have a great week!
Meteorologist Mike Cameron
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